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Monday, September 2, 2013

Experts Fear That U.S. Plan to Strike Syria Overlooks Risks - NYTimes.com

Experts Fear That U.S. Plan to Strike Syria Overlooks Risks - NYTimes.com



without any remorse what so ever..


BEIRUT, Lebanon — President Obama says he is seeking Congressional approval for a “limited, narrow” military strike against Syria — an aim that many Middle East experts fear overlooks the potential to worsen the violence in Syria and intensify a fight for regional influence between Iran and Saudi
Alice Martins/Agence France-Presse — Getty Images
A woman grieved at the burial of two fighters killed in clashes with members of other opposition groups in Hasakah Province in northeastern Syria on Thursday.
SANA, via Associated Press
President Bashar al-Assad of Syria in Damascus this month. Some diplomats fear that a United States strike could increase anti-Americanism and help lead Mr. Assad into a wider conflict.

Supporters of the president’s proposal contend that a limited punitive strike can be carried out without inflaming an already volatile situation. But a number of diplomats and other experts say it fails to adequately plan for a range of unintended consequences, from a surge in anti-Americanism that could bolster Syria’s president, Bashar al-Assad, to a wider regional conflict that could drag in other countries, including Israel and Turkey.

“Our biggest problem is ignorance; we’re pretty ignorant about Syria,” said Ryan C. Crocker, a former ambassador to Syria and Lebanon, who has served in Iraq and Afghanistan and is dean of the Bush School of Government and Public Service, Texas A&M University.

The American strike could hit President Assad’s military without fundamentally changing the dynamic in a stalemated civil war that has already left more than 100,000 people dead. At the same time, few expect that a barrage of cruise missiles would prompt either side to work in earnest for a political settlement. Given that, the skeptics say it may not be worth the risks.
“I don’t see any advantage,” said a Western official who closely observes Syria.

In outlining its plans, the Obama administration has left many questions unanswered. Diplomats familiar with Mr. Assad say there is no way to know how he would respond, and they question what the United States would do if he chose to order a chemical strike or other major retaliation against civilians.

That would leave the United States to choose between a loss of credibility and a more expansive — and unpopular — conflict, they said. “So he continues on in defiance — maybe he even launches another chemical attack to put a stick in our eye — and then what?” Mr. Crocker said. “Because once you start down this road, it’s pretty hard to get off it and maintain political credibility.”

For the United States, the challenge is to deliver the intended message to Mr. Assad without opening the door to a takeover by rebels linked to Al Qaeda, the collapse of state institutions, or a major escalation by Syria’s allies. Skeptics doubt that the United States — or anyone else — has the information to calibrate the attack that precisely.

That is partly because the United States is preparing to inject itself into a conflict that is no longer just about Syria, but has become a volatile regional morass that pits Iran and Hezbollah, the Shiite militant group in Lebanon, against Qaeda affiliates backed by Saudi Arabia and other Persian Gulf benefactors.

Iran’s and Syria’s defense ministers threatened on Friday to unleash attacks on Israel if Mr. Assad was in danger. While Hezbollah has said it would wait to see the scale and nature of the attacks before responding, in practice, analysts close to the organization said, it is probably prepared for any contingency.
There is also concern that Shiite-led Iraq could send thousands more militants to help Mr. Assad if it believed he was truly threatened, and that such a step would in turn further rally and embolden Sunni jihadists on both sides of its border with Syria.
Many diplomats and analysts consider retaliation unlikely, but the consequences could be grim. Israel has vowed that if Hezbollah attacks it again, it will respond forcefully, drawing Lebanon into war. And if Syria lobbed missiles into Israel and it responded with airstrikes through Lebanese airspace that threatened Mr. Assad further, Hezbollah would consider that further justification to attack Israel.

Even without such a direct entanglement, Lebanon could be very vulnerable. It has recently suffered its worst sectarian violence in years: a car bomb in Shiite Hezbollah territory in the Beirut suburbs, and two at Sunni mosques in the northern city of Tripoli. Lebanese authorities accused Syria on Friday of involvement in the Tripoli attacks, and intelligence officials fear such bombings could increase.

Within Syria, there is also the prospect of civilian casualties, either from errant American missiles or among people near the target sites. The Syrian government has put some military bases in populated areas, and thousands of political and other prisoners are held in security buildings. Although the strikes are said to be aimed at elite units involved in chemical weapons use, Reuters reported Friday that many Sunni conscripts have been effectively imprisoned on bases because they are not trusted, leaving them vulnerable, too.

COMMENT:

There is no way out to avoid Netanyahu US because he would make US President's peace a hell. Netanyahu Prime Minister of Israel would make the life of the Americans also hell through his “WE JEWS CONTROL AMERICAN CONGRESS “ as the Americans are already passing animal's life because of the "WE JEWS CONTROL AMERICA" The main aims and Objectives of Israel is to make SYIRA a subservient country to Israel and also use this chance to attack Iran and inflict maximum damage to it. The US President cannot come out of it because Israel has announced it is prepared in all respect for the strike.  The facts will surface after the congress votes.

When the Majority not only of America but the entire world is against to strike SYRIA. What could be the logic of Israel’s Prime Minister declaring his country is ready in all respect for the strike. Intelligentsias think He is directing or forcing US President to take up the dangerous path of striking SYRIA come what may to world peace and American's majority opinion. 

When Super Powers are fallowing out and are submitting to the verdict of the majority People of the respective country according to the Democratic Norms, but Israel nation whether is at all a democratic country or a dictatorial country.  It is unfortunate that such a vengeful country is US’s partner to ignite a world war at the cost of US. Similarly this “WE JEWS CONTROL AMERICA “ connived with the Republicans and ex President G W Bush, and persuaded him to Take the country to Iraq war and killed Sadham Husain and millions innocents on lies. Same process is on again. 

Would this Debate and Voting stop the strike, I suppose it will not because this “WE JEWS CONTROL AMERICA” very cunningly divided them to depict a great image of the Jews. WE American are fools not to understand the JEWISH tricks. See what happen and how the PM of Israel kicks aside the Americans Majority opinion and forces the President to comply with his desire.  See what he does WAIT!     
 
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